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Saturday, July 24, 2021

Chinese investment in Australia plunges to record low

Chinese investment in Australia fell by over 61% in 2020, according to new data from the Chinese Investment in Australia Database (CHIIA) at The Australian National University (ANU).

This follows a 47% drop in 2019, and is the lowest number recorded over the past six years.

CHIIA recorded just over $1 billion of investment in 2020, down from $2.6 billion the year before and well short of the peak of $16.5 billion recorded in 2016.

The number of Chinese investments recorded was only 20, well down from a peak of 111 investment projects in 2016.

In 2020, a huge 86% of Chinese investment in Australia originated from Chinese companies already established within Australia, meaning purchases were made via Australian subsidiaries rather than by foreign firms directly.

Dr Shiro Armstrong, Director of the East Asian Bureau of Economic Research where CHIIA is based, said this is a pattern that intensified in 2019 when 91% of new Chinese investment was sourced from within Australia.

“In 2020, the year of COVID-19, foreign direct investment fell globally by 42% according to the United Nations,” Dr Armstrong said.

“UN data is measured differently, but the fall in Chinese investment to Australia was much larger.

“It reflects the effects of COVID but also more scrutiny of foreign investment by the Australian Government, particularly that from China.

“The United Nations reports that total foreign investment to Australia fell by 46%, whereas foreign investment to Japan, China, India and some developed countries such as Sweden and Spain rose while investment to the United States and the United Kingdom plummeted.”

CHIIA has tracked Chinese investment in Australia from 2014–2020. In that period, almost every sector of the Australian economy has seen Chinese investment activity.

But, in 2020 recorded Chinese investment was limited to just three sectors: real estate ($461 million), mining ($414 million) and manufacturing ($153 million).

The full dataset is available at www.chiia.eaber.org.

About CHIIA

The CHIIA database project is managed by the East Asian Bureau of Economic Research (EABER) in the ANU Crawford School of Public Policy and was initiated under a grant from the Australian Treasury.

ANU has worked in partnership with the Treasury, as well as the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, the Department of Industry and consultancy PwC on the project. The release of the 2020 data represents the finalisation of the project.

The project pioneered new ways of foreign investment data collection and approaches to measuring it. Unlike other Chinese investment databases, the CHIIA database is able to track where Chinese investment in Australia originates. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) dataset records investment source by “immediate origin”, meaning that its Chinese investment dataset includes only cross-border transactions where funds move directly from China to Australia.

CHIIA tracks investors by their “ultimate origin” — that is, whether the investor’s ultimate parent company is Chinese. The CHIIA dataset is also unique in recording investment when it is realised rather than at the time of contracting, announcement or approval.

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